Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000271 0.000304 0.000340 0.000382 0.000429 0.000481 0.000543
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000212 0.000259 0.000315 0.000387 0.000476 0.000584 0.000724
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000182 0.000238 0.000309 0.000405 0.000535 0.000703 0.000939
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000154 0.000211 0.000288 0.000399 0.000557 0.000774 0.001100
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000134 0.000193 0.000274 0.000398 0.000583 0.000851 0.001276
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000117 0.000175 0.000258 0.000390 0.000596 0.000909 0.001429
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000107 0.000164 0.000252 0.000395 0.000628 0.000997 0.001639
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000098 0.000155 0.000245 0.000398 0.000656 0.001082 0.001855
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000140 0.000227 0.000380 0.000647 0.001104 0.001965
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000133 0.000222 0.000382 0.000672 0.001185 0.002188
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000131 0.000225 0.000399 0.000724 0.001320 0.002531
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000122 0.000214 0.000391 0.000730 0.001370 0.002715
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000111 0.000199 0.000373 0.000716 0.001384 0.002837
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000106 0.000196 0.000378 0.000748 0.001493 0.003175
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000106 0.000200 0.000396 0.000808 0.001667 0.003678
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000099 0.000192 0.000390 0.000818 0.001736 0.003959
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000095 0.000187 0.000389 0.000838 0.001830 0.004313
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000089 0.000179 0.000381 0.000841 0.001887 0.004587
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000086 0.000177 0.000386 0.000874 0.002016 0.005059
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000083 0.000175 0.000389 0.000904 0.002140 0.005541
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000077 0.000164 0.000372 0.000882 0.002137 0.005683
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000074 0.000161 0.000373 0.000907 0.002255 0.006178
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000033 0.000074 0.000164 0.000390 0.000971 0.002481 0.007018